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Polymarket wallet 0x46115bde376ac36eba03b7dd97b5901e7b3ebfab · on Polymarket since Oct 4, 2024 · also shown as Yellowish-Booking
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 244 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 7.0-8.0%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 188 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 160 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 505 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 292 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 250 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 555d | Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | SellYes98¢ | $105 |
| 555d | Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | BuyYes98¢ | $105 |
| 560d | Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 581d | Will anyone audibly fart during Digital Asset Summit? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 627d | Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 646d | Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 646d | Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 710d | Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 7.0-8.0%? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 716d | Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 748d | Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 748d | Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.