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Polymarket wallet 0x46d8634b4f7df1aeffc77306fb9417a9129db638 · on Polymarket since Nov 2, 2024 · also shown as Novel-Money
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,632 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $908 | −$92 −9.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 3,125 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $891 | −$109 −11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 3,448 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $845 | −$155 −16% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,429 | 14¢ → 24¢ | $336 | +$136 +68% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | Yes | 2,222 | 9¢ → 8¢ | $167 | −$33 −17% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,595 | 6¢ → 6¢ | $89 | −$11 −11% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,082 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $85 | −$15 −15% |
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | Yes | 241 | 21¢ → 29¢ | $70 | +$20 +39% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BuyYes21¢ | $50 |
| 1d | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 1d | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 1d | Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $100 |
| 9d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes14¢ | $207 |
| 9d | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $1,027 |
| 9d | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes38¢ | $1,025 |
| 9d | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BuyYes9¢ | $207 |
| 9d | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BuyYes29¢ | $1,028 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.