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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 4% | −2 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $1.53K | in 8d |
| December 31 | 35% | −4 pts | +11 pts | 34¢ · 35¢ (1¢) | $1.18K | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d |  Istaroth | October 31 | BuyNo96¢ | $1,556 | −$2 −0.1% | 22 |
| 5d | hfv | October 31 | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $2,572 | +$32 +1.2% | 23 |
| 6d | M2sx92kljs422 fills | December 31 | BuyNo73¢ → 66¢ | $4,522 | −$462 −10% | 38 |
| 10d | M2sx92kljs42 | October 31 | BuyNo93¢ → 96¢ | $3,493 | +$113 +3.2% | 25 |
| 11d |  tetrase | October 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,464 | +$82 +5.6% | 26 |
| 11d | tetrase | December 31 | BuyNo76¢ → 66¢ | $4,177 | −$560 −13% | 36 |
PMPAndrew994 sharestetrase3,932 shares
XAE12Archangel1,000 shares
truthteller566 shares
balthazar447 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for October 31 means the market gives it about 4%.