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Polymarket wallet 0x470d578c5b178fdd74f3278e41bf6ad244d5c245 · on Polymarket since May 27, 2025 · also shown as Hopeful-Monkey
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 108 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $108 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 9 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $9 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 100¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Angels vs. Red SoxSettled - ready to redeem | Red Sox | 26,855 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15,844 −100% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 30 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.