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Polymarket wallet 0x47148eed4e7464cd321ae3a5445b196ce7607406 · on Polymarket since Apr 6, 2026 · also shown as Nippy-Needle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$1 −74% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.