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Polymarket wallet 0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158 · on Polymarket since Jan 10, 2026 · also shown as Mild-Contingency
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 167,687 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $155,111 | +$5,338 +3.6% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 100,496 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $98,787 | +$1,344 +1.4% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 36,284 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $35,032 | +$3,553 +11% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 30,553 | 59¢ → 44¢ | $13,443 | −$4,579 −25% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 17,539 | 62¢ → 47¢ | $8,243 | −$2,628 −24% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 6,462 | 66¢ → 88¢ | $5,686 | +$1,444 +34% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,338 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $4,885 | +$400 +8.9% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,492 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $2,404 | +$237 +11% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,833 | 54¢ → 47¢ | $2,272 | −$329 −13% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.