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Polymarket wallet 0x47a5f9a0370771c168b231093e3e5c38740945bd · on Polymarket since Sep 20, 2025 · also shown as Flawless-Effacement
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 9 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SellYes13¢ | $11 |
| 292d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes28¢ | $20 |
| 292d | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BuyYes23¢ | $3 |
| 292d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BuyYes30¢ | $3 |
| 380d | Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,600 and $4,700 on October 9? | BuyYes24¢ | $2 |
| 381d | No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 381d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 390d | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | SellYes13¢ | $1 |
| 393d | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 3PM ET | BuyUp13¢ | $1 |
| 396d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BuyUp59¢ | $10 |
| 398d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ | $1 |
| 398d | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT in 2025? | BuyYes24¢ | $1 |
| 398d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4PM ET | BuyDown11¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.