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Polymarket wallet 0x4910842d27c641e6c23c6680c115da4db100c095 · on Polymarket since Jun 28, 2024 · also shown as Hoarse-Default
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$49 −82% |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,010 | 40¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$396 −99% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +4.6% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32,334 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29,746 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$720 −100% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,600 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,883 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.