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Polymarket wallet 0x49e5d7288ef5b423260e73febce370736e627824 · on Polymarket since Nov 4, 2024 · also shown as Complex-Commuter
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 373 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $15 | −$56 −78% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 97 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Oilers vs. StarsSettled - ready to redeem | Oilers | 435 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| GTA VI released in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 181 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 331d | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BuyNo32¢ | $31 |
| 331d | Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | SellNo3¢ | $30 |
| 340d | Trump out as President before 2027? | BuyYes19¢ | $71 |
| 353d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyYes92¢ | $66 |
| 520d | Oilers vs. Stars | BuyOilers46¢ | $200 |
| 521d | GTA VI released in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 521d | Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | BuyNo15¢ | $150 |
| 528d | Oilers vs. Golden Knights | BuyOilers47¢ | $100 |
| 528d | Golden Knights vs. Oilers | SellOilers>99¢ | $269 |
| 529d | Golden Knights vs. Oilers | BuyOilers52¢ | $140 |
| 604d | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | SellYes99¢ | $29 |
| 610d | Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BuyNo6¢ | $120 |
| 610d | Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes68¢ | $20 |
| 714d | Germany confidence vote in 2024? | BuyNo70¢ | $10 |
| 714d | German Bundestag dissolved in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ | $10 |
| 718d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes42¢ | $100 |
| 718d | Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | BuyYes14¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.