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Polymarket wallet 0x4bac974e8a83297b924277755ed4467c6f1fba73 · on Polymarket since Jul 1, 2025 · also shown as Parched-Vine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 282 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $282 | +$82 +41% |
| Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,561 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,798 −100% |
| Israel x Syria security deal before September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,306 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$366 −100% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,717 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,037 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,077 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,140 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,000 −100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30,000 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5,250 −100% |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,712 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8,557 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.