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Polymarket wallet 0x4c83845f7c5c8e7edeb0bc7e8393e19a06e7ca26 · on Polymarket since Oct 24, 2024 · also shown as Experienced-Heifer
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 1¢ → 100¢ | $71 | +$70 +7044% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $48 | +$1 +2.4% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +21% |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,616 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,551 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 892 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$318 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 123 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.