Bobothebear

Polymarket wallet 0x4c85a4fae5e326c1489ab37662d5ba1668a6635c · on Polymarket since Oct 25, 2025 · also shown as Outlying-Turret

Open on Polymarket ↗@bobothepredict ↗

Just Bear who try found predict

Positions now worth: $4.06K
All-time profit: +$693
Volume traded: $1.63M
All-time rank: #98,708
Markets traded: 221
Recent hit rate: 96%48 of last 50 closed

Open positions

12 markets · $4.06K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 67d	No	1,341	81¢ → 96¢	$1,292	+$201 +18%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	1,436	85¢ → 87¢	$1,242	+$22 +1.8%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 67d	No	739	90¢ → 97¢	$720	+$58 +8.7%
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Ends in 67d	No	284	92¢ → 95¢	$270	+$8 +3.1%
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 68d	No	200	84¢ → 92¢	$183	+$15 +8.9%
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 68d	No	155	87¢ → 97¢	$150	+$16 +12%
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d	No	259	87¢ → 31¢	$80	−$145 −64%
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	50	86¢ → 86¢	$43	$0 0.0%
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 68d	No	45	89¢ → 91¢	$41	+$1 +1.7%
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Ends in 68d	No	41	93¢ → 97¢	$39	+$1 +3.9%
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	50	89¢ → 0¢	$0	−$45 −100%
Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	19	93¢ → 0¢	$0	−$17 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
62d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	BuyNo93¢	$103
62d	Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$59
62d	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$100
68d	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$226
68d	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyNo99¢	$494
68d	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo86¢	$43
68d	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo95¢	$48
68d	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	BuyNo89¢	$40
68d	Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo97¢	$49
68d	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo89¢	$45
68d	Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$49
68d	Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$98
68d	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$140
85d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	BuyNo92¢	$269
85d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	BuyNo85¢	$52
85d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?	BuyNo84¢	$251
85d	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	SellNo91¢	$910
85d	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	SellNo95¢	$10
85d	Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?	SellNo>99¢	$55
85d	Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?	SellNo>99¢	$333
85d	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?	BuyNo96¢	$288
85d	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?	SellNo>99¢	$299
87d	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo93¢	$233
87d	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$82
87d	Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$261
87d	Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?	BuyYes97¢	$356
87d	The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally AND The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova	Buy49¢	$11
87d	The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally AND The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova	Buy18¢	$11
88d	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	SellYes55¢	$257
88d	Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	Buy13¢	$11
88d	Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds	Buy16¢	$11
88d	Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds	Buy16¢	$11
88d	Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds	Buy11¢	$11
88d	Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds	Buy11¢	$11
88d	Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang AND The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic	Buy20¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$13
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy3¢	$11
89d	Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie	Buy4¢	$11

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.

Market

Holding

Paid → now

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Ends in 67d

1,341

81¢ → 96¢

$1,292

+$201 +18%

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 68d

1,436

85¢ → 87¢

$1,242

+$22 +1.8%

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 67d

739

90¢ → 97¢

$720

+$58 +8.7%

Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?Ends in 67d

284

92¢ → 95¢

$270

+$8 +3.1%

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 68d

200

84¢ → 92¢

$183

+$15 +8.9%

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 68d

155

87¢ → 97¢

$150

+$16 +12%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d

259

87¢ → 31¢

$80

−$145 −64%

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d

86¢ → 86¢

$43

$0 0.0%

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Ends in 68d

89¢ → 91¢

$41

+$1 +1.7%

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?Ends in 68d

93¢ → 97¢

$39

+$1 +3.9%

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem

89¢ → 0¢

−$45 −100%

Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem

Yes

93¢ → 0¢

−$17 −100%

When

Market

Bet

Size

62d

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?

BuyNo93¢

$103

62d

Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo98¢

$59

62d

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

BuyNo98¢

$100

68d

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

BuyNo87¢

$226

68d

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

BuyNo99¢

$494

68d

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?

BuyNo86¢

$43

68d

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo95¢

$48

68d

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

BuyNo89¢

$40

68d

Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo97¢

$49

68d

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?

BuyNo89¢

$45

68d

Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo98¢

$49

68d

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?

BuyNo98¢

$98

68d

Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?

BuyNo93¢

$140

85d

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

BuyNo92¢

$269

85d

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

BuyNo85¢

$52

85d

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

BuyNo84¢

$251

85d

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

SellNo91¢

$910

85d

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

SellNo95¢

$10

85d

Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?

SellNo>99¢

$55

85d

Will MrBeast hit 520 million subscribers by July 31?

SellNo>99¢

$333

85d

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?

BuyNo96¢

$288

85d

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?

SellNo>99¢

$299

87d

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo93¢

$233

87d

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo87¢

$82

87d

Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?

BuyNo87¢

$261

87d

Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026?

BuyYes97¢

$356

87d

The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally AND The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova

Buy49¢

$11

87d

The Memphis Classic: Xiyu Wang vs Caty McNally AND The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutova

Buy18¢

$11

88d

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

SellYes55¢

$257

88d

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians AND San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves AND Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Buy13¢

$11

88d

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Buy16¢

$11

88d

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Buy16¢

$11

88d

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Buy11¢

$11

88d

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

Buy11¢

$11

88d

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shang AND The Memphis Classic: Katie Volynets vs Viktorija Golubic

Buy20¢

$11

89d

Liberec: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Nicolas Kicker AND San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Prado AND Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstat AND Liberec: Inaki Montes vs Sumit Nagal AND Bonn: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Jamie Mackenzie

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$13

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy3¢

$11

89d

Buy4¢

$11