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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6% | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Above 10% | 3% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Above 8% | 3% | — | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | — | in 69d |
| Above 4.5% | 14% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $2.3K | in 69d |
| Above 5% | 9% | +1 pts | — | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $89.3 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | firegold | Above 4.5% | SellNo85¢ → 86¢ | $1,275 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 19d |  perfectnostalgia2 fills | Above 4.5% | BuyNo61¢ → 86¢ | $9,097 | +$3,555 +39% | 30 |
| 19d | hfv | Above 4.5% | BuyNo88¢ → 86¢ | $1,250 | −$36 −2.8% | 18 |
| 21d | ourdemocracy | Above 5% | BuyNo92¢ | $2,161 | −$12 −0.5% | 15 |
| 33d | podairpod | Above 4.5% | BuyNo81¢ → 86¢ | $1,447 | +$80 +5.6% | 23 |
| 47d | podairpod | Above 5% | SellNo91¢ → 92¢ | $4,862 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 62d | kirby262 fills | Above 4.5% | SellNo83¢ → 86¢ | $6,745 | −$214 −3.2% | — |
| 68d | Musk5 | Above 4.5% | BuyNo83¢ → 86¢ | $1,660 | +$50 +3.0% | 21 |
| 80d | third-eye | Above 10% | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,100 | −$17 −0.8% | — |
| 85d |  Deadheadbucky | Above 10% | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,125 | +$7 +0.7% | 10 |
| 107d | KTKK | Above 4.5% | BuyNo81¢ → 86¢ | $1,021 | +$57 +5.6% | 23 |
| 121d | kirby264 fills | Above 4.5% | BuyNo59¢ → 86¢ | $5,376 | +$2,427 +45% | 30 |
| 123d | 177359772 fills | Above 5% | SellNo75¢ → 92¢ | $2,373 | −$535 −23% | — |
| 134d | 0x765f…1508 | Above 5% | SellNo80¢ → 92¢ | $1,271 | −$180 −14% | — |
| 135d | Formulaa | Above 5% | BuyNo75¢ → 92¢ | $1,125 | +$248 +22% | 27 |
| 135d | ccssz | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,413 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 136d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$30 +2.2% | 10 |
| 137d | coolquail2 fills | Above 5% | BuyYes30¢ → 9¢ | $2,052 | −$1,477 −72% | 33 |
| 137d | 50388131852 fills | Above 5% | SellYes28¢ → 9¢ | $3,520 | +$2,434 +69% | — |
| 138d | coolquail2 fills | Above 4.5% | BuyYes55¢ → 14¢ | $2,331 | −$1,712 −73% | 30 |
| 139d | Pepe1234567 | Above 10% | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $3,000 | +$66 +2.2% | 10 |
| 140d | rocks | Above 5% | SellYes29¢ → 9¢ | $1,075 | +$763 +71% | — |
| 140d | cookedquail | Above 4.5% | BuyYes62¢ → 14¢ | $1,860 | −$1,425 −77% | 30 |
| 143d | cookedquail | Above 5% | BuyYes33¢ → 9¢ | $1,023 | −$759 −74% | 30 |
| 148d | kirby262 fills | Above 5% | BuyNo72¢ → 92¢ | $7,199 | +$1,951 +27% | 29 |
| 149d | Close-Champagne | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$30 −2.5% | — |
| 152d | firegold | Above 5% | BuyNo73¢ → 92¢ | $1,460 | +$370 +25% | 28 |
| 152d | podairpod | Above 6% | BuyNo84¢ → 97¢ | $1,148 | +$176 +15% | 10 |
| 158d |  GypSea12 fills | Above 4.5% | BuyYes62¢ → 14¢ | $2,473 | −$1,894 −77% | 30 |
| 159d | GypSea12 fills | Above 5% | BuyYes34¢ → 9¢ | $2,439 | −$1,832 −75% | 33 |
| 160d | 0xfc91…31eb | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | −$39 −3.1% | — |
| 161d |  Odinsdottir | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$34 −3.1% | — |
| 162d | perfectnostalgia2 fills | Above 5% | BuyNo69¢ → 92¢ | $4,851 | +$1,539 +32% | 30 |
| 162d | GypSea1 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,653 | −$53 −3.2% | — |
| 163d | perfectnostalgia2 fills | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $11,616 | +$565 +4.9% | 10 |
| 164d | Hashbrown | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$117 +9.9% | 10 |
| 164d | shcc | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,487 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 165d | GetRichS | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,747 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 176d | axelrod1312 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $1,529 | −$967 −63% | — |
| 177d | chefradish | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$87 −8.7% | — |
| 177d | firegold | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$161 +8.7% | 10 |
| 178d | perfectnostalgia5 fills | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $16,249 | +$2,222 +14% | 10 |
| 182d | neuroplasticompany | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | −$141 −13% | — |
| 183d |  NoPeeking | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,792 | +$1,792 +100% | — |
| 184d | kirby264 fills | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $7,846 | +$1,093 +14% | 10 |
| 188d | neuroplasticompany | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$192 +19% | 10 |
| 188d | kirby26 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,985 | +$1,985 +100% | — |
| 189d | NoPeeking | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | −$1,064 −100% | 10 |
| 189d | kirby26 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $2,551 | −$2,551 −100% | 10 |
| 189d | kirby26 | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,552 | −$448 −18% | — |
| 189d | longdated-poli | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | −$325 −17% | — |
| 189d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $3,192 | −$3,192 −100% | 18 |
| 191d | perfectnostalgia | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $1,901 | −$1,901 −100% | 10 |
| 192d | Critical-Med | Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$121 +11% | 10 |
| 193d | MKIsabella2 fills | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $2,051 | +$2,073 +101% | 10 |
| 193d | perfectnostalgia | Above 6% | BuyNo86¢ → 97¢ | $1,290 | +$160 +12% | 10 |
| 194d | axelrod1312 | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | BuyYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | +$1,512 +102% | 10 |
| 194d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Above 5% | BuyNo76¢ → 92¢ | $2,407 | +$491 +20% | 26 |
| 195d | Moral-Jet | Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | −$1,644 −80% | — |
| 196d | podairpod | Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $2,125 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
perfectnostalgia2,513 shares
SaracensCapital2585 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Above 6% means the market gives it about 3%.