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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taiwan | 3% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Lebanon | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| Italy | 7% | −3 pts | −1 pts | 6¢ · 7¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| Japan | 14% | — | +1 pts | 13¢ · 16¢ (3¢) | — | in 68d |
| South Korea | 12% | — | +2 pts | 7¢ · 17¢ (10¢) | — | in 68d |
| India | 6% | — | +1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| Russia | 7% | −1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 9¢ (4¢) | — | in 68d |
| Mexico | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 6¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| Belarus | 5% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 68d |
| Oman | 6% | −1 pts | +5 pts | 1¢ · 12¢ (11¢) | — | in 68d |
| Syria | 8% | — | +1 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | — | in 68d |
| Saudi Arabia | 12% | −3 pts | +7 pts | 8¢ · 16¢ (8¢) | — | in 68d |
| Venezuela | 9% | — | +3 pts | 5¢ · 12¢ (7¢) | — | in 68d |
| Portugal | 12% | — | +1 pts | 3¢ · 20¢ (17¢) | — | in 70d |
| Germany | 14% | — | — | 13¢ · 15¢ (2¢) | $112 | in 70d |
| Pakistan | 5% | — | — | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $80 | in 70d |
| Canada | 3% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 3¢ · 4¢ (2¢) | $80 | in 68d |
| Israel | 14% | +5 pts | +8 pts | 8¢ · 21¢ (13¢) | $55.5 | in 70d |
| North Korea | 7% | — | +1 pts | 6¢ · 8¢ (2¢) | $46.8 | in 70d |
| Ukraine | 6% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 3¢ · 8¢ (5¢) | $39.9 | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | pagliacci4 | Japan | BuyYes50¢ → 14¢ | $1,093 | −$776 −71% | 20 |
| 35d | bearbees2 | North Korea | BuyNo92¢ → 93¢ | $6,322 | +$88 +1.4% | 26 |
| 107d | alwaysOn | India | BuyNo90¢ → 94¢ | $1,899 | +$85 +4.5% | 20 |
| 107d |  yen4u | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,471 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 107d |  Da-Joker | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | +$14 +0.7% | 20 |
| 107d |  Car | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$14 +0.7% | 20 |
| 107d |  Rex416 | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | +$248 +16% | 20 |
| 107d |  Raskell | Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$207 +18% | 20 |
| 109d |  AlAhmeda | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,458 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 110d |  Dr.mett | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,872 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Car | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$110 +5.8% | 20 |
| 129d | Cal800 | Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | +$193 +9.9% | 20 |
| 130d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,294 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d |  NeoSay10 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,727 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 163d | 0xzipper | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | 0xf243 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,492 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 163d | NeoSay10 | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,486 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 174d | Cal8002 fills | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,215 | +$212 +6.6% | 20 |
| 184d | cashy | Israel | BuyYes60¢ → 14¢ | $2,658 | −$2,020 −76% | 40 |
| 185d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,258 | −$221 −6.8% | — |
| 228d | Giving-Bottomline | Israel | BuyNo60¢ → 86¢ | $2,000 | +$829 +41% | 40 |
| 245d | QMG-CORE | Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026? | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$39 +3.6% | 20 |
| 275d | junkbonds | Germany | BuyYes81¢ → 14¢ | $1,779 | −$1,472 −83% | 32 |
| 275d |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $4,318 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 276d |  knrad2 fills | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,101 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 276d |  Ahpo | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 276d | zxdfbdfgngcxv | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,619 | +$7 +0.2% | 20 |
| 276d |  Chims | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,800 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 276d |  0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 277d | bearbees2 | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,929 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 277d |  ComingBack2 fills | Will Donald Trump visit Switzerland in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
2B9S117 shares
MrNoItAll487 shares
who0704200 shares
LornaPredicts159 sharesIf U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for Taiwan means the market gives it about 3%.