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Polymarket wallet 0x4de25d78e8b7f1bbe62cc06fab43876b9cb5b101 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2024 · also shown as Simplistic-Kneejerk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 166 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $166 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (W)Settled - ready to redeem | Northern Illinois Huskies | 309 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 133 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $60 on February 13?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 173 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 135 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 19 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.