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Polymarket wallet 0x4eca864db3ae9782db961d3182519739a905e568 · on Polymarket since May 31, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 155 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $4 | −$1 −19% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 3 | 64¢ → 46¢ | $1 | −$1 −29% |
| Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 38 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16d | Will the International Peace Research Association win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $5 |
| 61d | Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 145d | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BuyYes64¢ | $2 |
| 145d | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BuyYes21¢ | $2 |
| 145d | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 145d | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 145d | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BuyYes3¢ | $5 |
| 145d | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 145d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes17¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.