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Polymarket wallet 0x4f88f446333694b2949aca8f2ed2a9c1ba847996 · on Polymarket since Mar 3, 2025 · also shown as Afraid-Randomisation

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $33
All-time profit: −$310
Volume traded: $5K
All-time rank: #2,895,114
Markets traded: 33
Recent hit rate: 50%16 of last 32 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $33

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 11AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	50¢ → 100¢	$33	+$17 +100%

Latest trades

last 33

When	Market	Bet	Size
425d	Ethereum Up or Down - August 26, 11AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$17
430d	XRP Up or Down - August 19, 3PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
432d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$31
442d	Ethereum Up or Down - August 8, 9AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$19
457d	Solana Up or Down - July 23, 11AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
458d	Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 1AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$14
459d	Solana Up or Down - July 23, 12AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$10
466d	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$20
516d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 63–64°F on May 26?	BuyYes55¢	$45
540d	Will Michael Saylor say "Recession" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BuyYes27¢	$25
541d	Will Michael Saylor say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BuyNo53¢	$19
544d	LEC: G2 vs. Fnatic	BuyG248¢	$96
545d	Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?	BuyYes38¢	$213
546d	Smith vs. Mingyang	BuySmith21¢	$11
548d	Will Trump say "King" during Norway PM events on April 24?	BuyNo49¢	$30
548d	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?	BuyDown49¢	$10
550d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 22?	BuyNo67¢	$27
554d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on April 18?	BuyNo58¢	$177
555d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on April 16?	BuyYes30¢	$138
558d	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Bukele visit on April 14?	BuyNo63¢	$312
559d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on April 13?	BuyNo63¢	$13
560d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on April 12?	BuyNo58¢	$174
564d	Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?	BuyNo78¢	$31
566d	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 6?	BuyUp59¢	$73
569d	Ethereum Up or Down on April 4?	BuyUp50¢	$52
576d	Ethereum Up or Down on March 27?	BuyDown52¢	$10
580d	Ethereum Up or Down on March 23?	BuyUp61¢	$65
582d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on March 21?	BuyNo70¢	$84
583d	Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 59-60°F on March 19?	BuyNo58¢	$46
590d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on March 13?	BuyNo69¢	$84
592d	Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on March 11?	BuyYes40¢	$180
596d	Will Trump issue an executive order on March 7?	BuyYes51¢	$173
599d	Will Trump issue an executive order on March 4?	BuyYes46¢	$228

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 32 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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