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Polymarket wallet 0x5040917f72a9bfa51b4ae628f21ed02db0fdcef4 · on Polymarket since May 18, 2025 · also shown as Vague-Hydrogen
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 441d | Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ | $10 |
| 441d | Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 441d | Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyYes49¢ | $10 |
| 441d | Bitcoin all time high by August 31? | BuyYes49¢ | $1 |
| 441d | Trump and Putin shake hands by October 31? | BuyNo37¢ | $1 |
| 518d | Will Apple release a new product line in 2025? | BuyYes36¢ | $1 |
| 518d | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 518d | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $1 |
| 518d | Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23? | SellYes3¢ | $1 |
| 519d | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 520d | Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23? | SellYes20¢ | $4 |
| 521d | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 521d | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 523d | Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23? | BuyYes20¢ | $4 |
| 523d | Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23? | BuyYes26¢ | $5 |
| 523d | Bitcoin all time high in May? | BuyYes46¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.