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Polymarket · Tech & Science
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31, 2026 | 3% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 9d |
| December 31, 2026 | 30% | +5 pts | −8 pts | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | $58.7 | in 70d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | thoodr | October 31, 2026 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,470 | +$121 +8.2% | 20 |
| 23d | NorthStar6 | October 31, 2026 | SellYes12¢ → 3¢ | $1,045 | +$818 +78% | — |
| 30d | KiernanMeister | October 31, 2026 | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $3,812 | −$180 −4.7% | — |
| 32d | hfv | October 31, 2026 | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,327 | −$57 −4.3% | — |
| 32d | M4Play2 fills | October 31, 2026 | SellYes22¢ → 3¢ | $2,139 | +$1,890 +88% | — |
| 50d | namemek | December 31, 2026 | SellNo78¢ → 71¢ | $1,181 | +$114 +9.6% | — |
| 70d |  Sylvester.the.Cat | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo89¢ → 71¢ | $1,785 | −$375 −21% | 27 |
| 71d | KiernanMeister | October 31, 2026 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $9,517 | +$819 +8.6% | 20 |
| 74d | KiernanMeister | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo71¢ | $1,651 | −$18 −1.1% | 39 |
| 77d | hfncj | October 31, 2026 | SellNo85¢ → 97¢ | $1,899 | −$272 −14% | — |
| 78d |  FrozenParasite | October 31, 2026 | SellNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,223 | −$44 −3.6% | — |
| 78d | FrozenParasite | October 31, 2026 | BuyNo80¢ → 97¢ | $7,520 | +$1,658 +22% | 20 |
| 205d |  ZhangMuZhi.. | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,410 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 205d | ears | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,194 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 208d |  bonebot2 fills | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$27 +0.7% | 20 |
| 217d | simpledue | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,920 | +$41 +1.4% | 20 |
| 220d | Betybet | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,860 | −$35 −1.2% | — |
| 234d | Complex-TrainingNew account | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,273 | +$78 +2.4% | 20 |
| 244d |  zhupercyclist | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,084 | +$41 +3.8% | 20 |
| 289d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | −$59 −5.2% | — |
| 334d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$168 +5.6% | 20 |
| 334d | 0xDba78EAeC18Da2455d4b78De38828C | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$44 +1.5% | 20 |
| 349d | beeply | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$196 +12% | 20 |
FrozenParasite817 shares
LornaPredicts659 shares
Haradwaith595 shares
Rumpelstiltskin1,013 shares
EsperanzasDESTROYER779 shares
Anjun333 sharesThis is a market on whether OpenAI will release a consumer hardware product by the specified date.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for October 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 3%.