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Polymarket wallet 0x50e45657057f52432a802a2eec5593a99a80701f · on Polymarket since Jul 31, 2025 · also shown as Tight-Guitar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 75 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" 3+ times during Colbert show on July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 424d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes31¢ | $5 |
| 428d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | SellYes22¢ | $1 |
| 428d | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August? | SellYes>99¢ | $4 |
| 429d | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in August? | BuyYes28¢ | $1 |
| 432d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | SellYes11¢ | $2 |
| 446d | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 449d | Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes6¢ | $1 |
| 449d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes40¢ | $1 |
| 449d | Will Kamala Harris say "Trump" 3+ times during Colbert show on July 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 449d | Will Kamala Harris say "Election" or "Elected" during Colbert show on July 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 449d | Will Kamala Harris say "Tariff" during Colbert show on July 31? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 449d | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BuyYes9¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.