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Polymarket wallet 0x52ca8cad990148ffad046766efae6dd87ffe523f · on Polymarket since Jul 3, 2025 · also shown as Troubled-Triad
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 3,896 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $3,331 | +$61 +1.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 3,400 | 63¢ → 97¢ | $3,295 | +$1,153 +54% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,970 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $3,275 | +$298 +10% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,982 | 79¢ → 88¢ | $1,734 | +$168 +11% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.