| Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 20 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$1 +7.4% |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 12¢ → 99¢ | $10 | +$9 +721% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?Ends in 189d | Yes | 10 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +12% |
| Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.6% |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 78¢ | $8 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7 | 16¢ → 74¢ | $5 | +$4 +359% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 26 | 4¢ → 8¢ | $2 | +$1 +97% |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 30 | 20¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$4 −70% |
| Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10 | 79¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$6 −82% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 43 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −36% |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Ends in 189d | No | 5 | 16¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 168 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 241 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will "Magic" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 345 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$116 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 68 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 448 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will "Dude" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 850 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump post "Trust" on Truth Social this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 36 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 47 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 99 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Gold" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 244 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Trump post "Baby" on Truth Social this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 300 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the Labour Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,119 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$374 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 105 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will "China" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 62 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 425 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
