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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 3.0% | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 2.5% | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↑ 5.25% | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 0.25% | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 0.5% | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 3.25% | 2% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↑ 5.5% | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 2.25% | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 1.5% | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 2.0% | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 0% | 2% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 1.75% | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 1.25% | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 1.0% | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↑ 4.5% | 15% | +6 pts | −3 pts | 12¢ · 17¢ (5¢) | $2.37K | in 68d |
| ↓ 0.75% | 2% | — | — | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| ↓ 2.75% | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $79.3 | in 68d |
| ↑ 4.25% | 72% | 0 pts | −8 pts | 70¢ · 75¢ (5¢) | $62.9 | in 68d |
| ↑ 4.75% | 8% | 0 pts | +3 pts | 3¢ · 13¢ (10¢) | $10 | in 68d |
| ↑ 5.0% | 3% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $0.96 | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d |  Ahpo | ↓ 2.75% | BuyNo98¢ | $2,791 | −$9 −0.3% | 11 |
| 14d |  CastleRock | ↓ 2.75% | BuyNo98¢ | $1,958 | −$6 −0.3% | 11 |
| 30d | gambler9252 fills | ↑ 4.25% | BuyYes80¢ → 72¢ | $4,003 | −$371 −9.3% | 24 |
| 35d | puravida | ↑ 4.25% | BuyYes81¢ → 72¢ | $2,302 | −$246 −11% | 23 |
| 39d | thebetter1234 | ↓ 0% | BuyNo98¢ | $1,398 | −$0 −0.0% | 10 |
| 54d |  DEGENKHAN | ↓ 0.5% | SellNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,294 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 56d | spec-tater2 fills | ↓ 2.5% | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $3,409 | −$80 −2.3% | — |
| 66d | spec-tater2 fills | ↑ 4.25% | BuyNo86¢ → 28¢ | $2,855 | −$1,926 −67% | 20 |
| 71d |  Adrink3D3 fills | ↑ 4.25% | SellYes24¢ → 72¢ | $5,442 | −$11,194 −206% | — |
| 71d | Adrink3D6 fills | ↓ 3.0% | SellNo94¢ → 99¢ | $10,392 | −$578 −5.6% | — |
| 76d | Ahpo | ↓ 2.25% | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,322 | +$32 +2.4% | 10 |
| 83d |  AlexiosV | ↑ 4.5% | SellNo91¢ → 85¢ | $2,447 | +$144 +5.9% | — |
| 99d | delphy | ↓ 0.25% | BuyNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,347 | +$28 +2.1% | 10 |
| 101d | DEGENKHAN2 fills | ↓ 0.5% | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $3,561 | +$115 +3.2% | 10 |
| 101d | AlexiosV3 fills | ↑ 4.25% | BuyNo77¢ → 28¢ | $4,018 | −$2,571 −64% | 25 |
| 107d | redvinny | ↑ 4.25% | SellNo86¢ → 28¢ | $2,097 | +$1,419 +68% | — |
| 122d | KTKK | ↑ 4.25% | BuyNo71¢ → 28¢ | $1,702 | −$1,033 −61% | 29 |
| 127d | Adrink3D | ↑ 4.25% | BuyYes20¢ → 72¢ | $1,643 | +$4,374 +266% | 33 |
| 138d |  Hyperlong | ↑ 4.25% | BuyNo84¢ → 28¢ | $1,113 | −$746 −67% | 20 |
| 153d |  TBill12 fills | ↓ 2.75% | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $3,985 | +$120 +3.0% | 13 |
| 157d | ImHereForTheRewards | ↓ 0% | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,189 | −$80 −6.7% | — |
| 157d | ImHereForTheRewards | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo84¢ → 98¢ | $1,426 | −$239 −17% | — |
| 157d | ImHereForTheRewards | ↓ 0.5% | SellNo62¢ → 98¢ | $1,610 | −$945 −59% | — |
| 175d | 0x0729A91138dbA9addc310D39F57aAd555371C50 | ↓ 3.0% | SellNo75¢ → 99¢ | $1,016 | −$322 −32% | — |
| 175d |  uncleroger | ↓ 2.25% | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,203 | +$83 +6.9% | 10 |
| 175d | uncleroger | ↓ 2.5% | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $1,596 | +$148 +9.3% | 10 |
| 178d |  AishahSofey | ↓ 3.25% | BuyNo45¢ → 98¢ | $1,080 | +$1,270 +118% | 10 |
| 190d | puravida | ↓ 2.5% | BuyNo88¢ → 98¢ | $3,045 | +$358 +12% | 10 |
| 194d |  TheLightFire | ↓ 2.75% | BuyYes17¢ → 2¢ | $2,040 | −$1,752 −86% | 34 |
| 207d | boss5995 | ↑ 5.25% | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,018 | +$33 +3.3% | 10 |
| 207d | Engagexw45 | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo93¢ → 98¢ | $1,257 | −$69 −5.5% | — |
| 207d | Turkeyelectric | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,093 | −$36 −3.3% | — |
| 207d | Engagexw45 | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,218 | −$42 −3.5% | — |
| 207d | Gladrh86 | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,034 | −$36 −3.5% | — |
| 207d | Nature-Snow | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,148 | −$53 −4.6% | — |
| 207d | music-property | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,075 | −$50 −4.6% | — |
| 207d | cactusGoose | ↓ 0.25% | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,023 | +$47 +4.6% | 10 |
| 207d | junkZero | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,342 | −$56 −4.2% | — |
| 207d | arrange.what.spike | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,266 | −$56 −4.4% | — |
| 207d | random-window | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,277 | −$56 −4.4% | — |
| 207d | fantasy-balcony | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,219 | −$54 −4.4% | — |
| 207d | version-derive | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,237 | −$46 −3.7% | — |
| 207d | traffic16 | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,070 | −$40 −3.7% | — |
| 207d | traffic16 | ↑ 5.25% | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,073 | +$37 +3.5% | 10 |
| 207d | version-derive | ↑ 5.25% | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,239 | +$43 +3.5% | 10 |
| 207d | gate233 | ↓ 1.5% | BuyNo89¢ → 98¢ | $1,189 | +$120 +10% | 10 |
| 207d | crouchgv65 | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,125 | −$47 −4.2% | — |
| 207d | borrowug62 | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,246 | −$65 −5.2% | — |
| 207d | raccoon-timber | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,000 | −$52 −5.2% | — |
| 208d | exclude-predict | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,048 | −$53 −5.1% | — |
| 208d | Flashwage | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,337 | −$68 −5.1% | — |
| 208d | exclude-predict | ↓ 0.25% | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,051 | +$51 +4.9% | 10 |
| 208d | donkey8347 | ↓ 0.25% | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,029 | −$40 −3.9% | — |
| 208d | exclude-predict | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,170 | −$31 −2.6% | — |
| 208d | floor-together-file | ↑ 5.25% | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,150 | −$30 −2.6% | — |
| 208d | equal6781 | ↓ 1.5% | SellNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,262 | −$96 −7.6% | — |
| 208d | mirrorNoodle | ↓ 1.5% | SellNo92¢ → 98¢ | $1,003 | −$65 −6.5% | — |
| 208d | amazingFind | ↓ 2.0% | SellNo88¢ → 99¢ | $1,303 | −$160 −12% | — |
| 208d | picnic-choose | ↓ 2.0% | SellNo88¢ → 99¢ | $1,242 | −$152 −12% | — |
| 208d | bulk7865 | ↓ 2.0% | SellNo89¢ → 99¢ | $1,129 | −$124 −11% | — |
TheLightFire2,507 shares
LornaPredicts1,200 sharesAhpo1,000 shares
Flaner205 sharesThe FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 1¢ for ↓ 3.0% means the market gives it about 1%.