usuch

Polymarket wallet 0x531628dc7ad9fde7f247dde97f1c2553629f4ae5 · on Polymarket since Aug 2, 2024 · also shown as Busy-Calendar

Open on Polymarket ↗@usuches ↗

asymmetric researcher

Positions now worth: $389
All-time profit: −$2.27K
Volume traded: $129K
All-time rank: #3,137,735
Markets traded: 230
Recent hit rate: 20%10 of last 50 closed

Open positions

15 markets · $389

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 435d	No	400	26¢ → 42¢	$168	+$64 +62%
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 70d	Yes	3,335	3¢ → 3¢	$108	+$8 +8.3%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 70d	Yes	1,000	10¢ → 7¢	$65	−$35 −35%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 70d	Yes	420	24¢ → 10¢	$40	−$61 −60%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 4d	Yes	3,000	1¢ → <1¢	$8	−$19 −72%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	100	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$29 −100%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Settled - ready to redeem	No	16,883	13¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2,113 −100%
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto EditionSettled - ready to redeem	No	500	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	200	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	400	25¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	420	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$66 −100%
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	26¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	555	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$112 −100%
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	500	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
29d	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BuyNo26¢	$109
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo4¢	$104
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$55
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$13
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$6
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$300
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$3
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$9
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$21
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$3
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$0
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$0
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$0
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$0
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$0
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$21
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$6
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$152
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$9
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$0
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$1
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$2
32d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo10¢	$372
34d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo23¢	$110
35d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo23¢	$690
58d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$6
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$0
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$1
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$0
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$0
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$2
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$0
66d	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?	BuyYes3¢	$91
78d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo26¢	$4
78d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo25¢	$25
78d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo25¢	$70
78d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo24¢	$58
78d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo23¢	$7
78d	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	BuyNo22¢	$2

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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