mangostein

Polymarket wallet 0x544f0fde00918bf423fd58c1d1c12b59cb4f4cb9 · on Polymarket since Oct 1, 2026 · also shown as Far-Off-Going

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $92.8
All-time profit: −$499
Volume traded: $17.7K
All-time rank: #2,964,771
Markets traded: 270
Recent hit rate: 44%22 of last 50 closed

Open positions

69 markets · $92.8

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $4.1B?Ends in 4d	Yes	40	45¢ → 32¢	$13	−$5 −29%
Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $56B?Ends in 4d	Yes	20	26¢ → 40¢	$8	+$3 +54%
Will Mike Malott fight Jack Della Maddalena next?Ends in 361d	Yes	20	42¢ → 38¢	$8	−$1 −11%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?Ends in 11d	Yes	20	36¢ → 31¢	$6	−$1 −14%
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?Ends in 18d	Yes	20	29¢ → 26¢	$5	−$1 −12%
Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $7B?Ends in 9d	Yes	20	33¢ → 19¢	$4	−$3 −44%
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 69d	No	4	77¢ → 81¢	$4	+$0 +5.2%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends ended	No	3	88¢ → 99¢	$3	+$0 +13%
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 8d	No	3	89¢ → 97¢	$3	+$0 +9.4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 38d	No	3	70¢ → 78¢	$3	+$0 +11%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?Ends in 434d	No	4	68¢ → 66¢	$2	−$0 −3.7%
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Ends in 8d	Yes	2	77¢ → 99¢	$2	+$0 +29%
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d	Yes	5	27¢ → 37¢	$2	+$0 +35%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	5	42¢ → 36¢	$2	−$0 −14%
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d	No	2	80¢ → 83¢	$2	+$0 +3.1%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be between 9,600,000 and 10,000,000?Ends in 11d	No	2	75¢ → 72¢	$2	−$0 −4.7%
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below?Ends in 75d	Yes	2	74¢ → 74¢	$1	$0 0.0%
Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?Ends in 159d	Yes	15	25¢ → 9¢	$1	−$2 −63%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 7d	No	1	82¢ → 93¢	$1	+$0 +14%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?Ends in 128d	No	1	81¢ → 95¢	$1	+$0 +18%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d	No	2	67¢ → 72¢	$1	+$0 +6.7%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $327,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d	No	2	79¢ → 81¢	$1	+$0 +1.9%
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d	Yes	4	36¢ → 32¢	$1	−$0 −12%
Will the Democrats win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d	Yes	3	76¢ → 43¢	$1	−$1 −44%
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	1	82¢ → 86¢	$1	+$0 +4.4%
Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	4	23¢ → 28¢	$1	+$0 +20%
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?Ends in 39d	No	2	60¢ → 48¢	$1	−$0 −21%
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?Ends in 39d	Yes	5	36¢ → 23¢	$1	−$1 −35%
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d	No	1	74¢ → 77¢	$1	+$0 +3.4%
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 10d	No	1	63¢ → 77¢	$1	+$0 +22%
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?Ends in 250d	Yes	2	39¢ → 44¢	$1	+$0 +13%
Women's Ballon d'Or 2026: Caroline Graham Hansen or Claudia Pina to finish higher?Ends in 69d	Graham Hansen	1	50¢ → 73¢	$1	+$0 +45%
Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by Jun 30?Ends in 250d	Yes	1	71¢ → 58¢	$1	−$0 −18%
Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the first WR to 1,000 receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d	Yes	20	11¢ → 4¢	$1	−$1 −65%
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?Ends in 11d	Yes	3	33¢ → 26¢	$1	−$0 −22%
Will Hylo launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d	No	1	44¢ → 49¢	$1	+$0 +11%
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Ends in 7d	No	1	48¢ → 56¢	$1	+$0 +16%
Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	No	4	14¢ → 12¢	$0	−$0 −19%
Will Nico Collins have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d	No	2	37¢ → 21¢	$0	−$0 −42%
Will Ladd McConkey finish as a top-5 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?Ends in 95d	Yes	6	14¢ → 7¢	$0	−$0 −51%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?Ends in 250d	Yes	1	16¢ → 22¢	$0	+$0 +37%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d	No	5	33¢ → 5¢	$0	−$1 −84%
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election?Ends in 226d	Yes	3	26¢ → 7¢	$0	−$1 −75%
Will Drake London have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 95d	No	1	28¢ → 14¢	$0	−$0 −48%
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	Yes	20	14¢ → 1¢	$0	−$3 −93%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election?Ends in 10d	No	1	20¢ → 18¢	$0	−$0 −13%
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $303,000 and $308,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d	Yes	3	23¢ → 5¢	$0	−$1 −78%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d	Yes	2	32¢ → 7¢	$0	−$0 −78%
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 250d	No	3	13¢ → 2¢	$0	−$0 −82%
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 7d	No	2	35¢ → 4¢	$0	−$1 −89%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?Ends in 79d	Yes	1	17¢ → 5¢	$0	−$0 −73%
Will NEXVOID qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?Ends in 81d	Yes	2	22¢ → 3¢	$0	−$0 −86%
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.75 inches of precipitation in October?Ends in 76d	Yes	1	18¢ → 1¢	$0	−$0 −94%
Will "Whalefall" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	49¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	20	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$8 −100%
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	45¢ → 0¢	$0	−$18 −100%
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	40	36¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$10 −100%
Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1	29¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026Settled - ready to redeem	No	3	11¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4	31¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.38T?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2	48¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	17	33¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	20	70¢ → 0¢	$0	−$14 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1d	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	BuyYes33¢	$0
3d	Will Mike Malott fight Jack Della Maddalena next?	BuyYes42¢	$8
3d	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?	BuyYes36¢	$7
4d	Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	SellYes61¢	$12
4d	Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	SellYes41¢	$16
4d	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	SellYes31¢	$12
4d	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	SellYes66¢	$13
4d	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	SellYes47¢	$18
4d	Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?	SellYes66¢	$13
4d	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	SellYes35¢	$7
4d	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on November 30, 2026?	SellYes19¢	$1
4d	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	SellYes61¢	$12
4d	Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?	SellYes79¢	$16
5d	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	BuyYes25¢	$4
6d	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes47¢	$9
6d	Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes47¢	$9
6d	Will "Whalefall" score at least 72 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	BuyYes49¢	$10
6d	Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	BuyYes49¢	$10
6d	Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?	BuyYes49¢	$10
6d	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	BuyYes53¢	$11
7d	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes31¢	$6
7d	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes53¢	$11
7d	Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?	BuyYes68¢	$14
8d	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in October?	BuyYes29¢	$6
8d	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?	BuyYes65¢	$13
8d	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 20 and 40 million views on day 1?	BuyYes37¢	$7
8d	Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 iPad revenue be above $7B?	BuyYes33¢	$7
8d	Will it rain in Dallas, TX on October 15?	BuyYes58¢	$12
9d	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?	BuyYes36¢	$7
9d	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?	BuyYes36¢	$7
9d	Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $4.1B?	BuyYes45¢	$9
9d	Will KLA Corp (KLAC) Q1 total revenues be above $4.1B?	BuyYes45¢	$9
9d	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	BuyYes45¢	$9
9d	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	BuyYes45¢	$9
9d	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 14?	BuyYes33¢	$6
10d	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$14
10d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $56B?	BuyYes26¢	$5
10d	Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 230?	BuyYes61¢	$12
10d	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes75¢	$15
10d	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $224 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes64¢	$13
10d	Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.38T?	BuyYes33¢	$7
10d	Will GE Vernova (GEV) Q3 orders be above $20B?	BuyYes61¢	$12
10d	Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31?	BuyYes28¢	$6
10d	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes42¢	$8
10d	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2027?	BuyYes42¢	$8
10d	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes73¢	$15
11d	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$4
11d	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes40¢	$4
11d	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes48¢	$10
11d	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$4
11d	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $201 Week of October 12 2026?	BuyYes54¢	$11
12d	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	SellYes29¢	$6
12d	Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	SellYes52¢	$10
12d	Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	BuyYes58¢	$12
12d	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	SellYes38¢	$7
12d	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-07 House election by 15%-20%?	SellYes12¢	$2
12d	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	SellYes23¢	$4
12d	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 60%-65%?	SellYes24¢	$5
12d	Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?	SellYes45¢	$9
12d	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.50 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes43¢	$9

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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