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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 31, 2027 | 61% | — | −6 pts | 60¢ · 61¢ (1¢) | — | in 99d |
| January 15, 2027 | 46% | — | +9 pts | 45¢ · 47¢ (2¢) | — | in 83d |
| December 31, 2026 | 14% | +1 pts | −6 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $3.74K | in 68d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h |  zxdfbdfgngcxv | December 31, 2026 | SellNo85¢ → 86¢ | $1,837 | −$11 −0.6% | — |
| 2d |  iHaveBeenPwned | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo87¢ → 86¢ | $2,723 | −$47 −1.7% | 29 |
| 5d | TennisOG | December 31, 2026 | SellNo79¢ → 86¢ | $2,003 | −$161 −8.0% | — |
| 9d |  vinii | January 31, 2027 | SellYes63¢ → 61¢ | $1,063 | +$40 +3.8% | — |
| 9d | vinii | January 31, 2027 | BuyYes53¢ → 61¢ | $1,028 | +$147 +14% | 20 |
| 10d | plumbis | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo78¢ → 86¢ | $3,900 | +$375 +9.6% | 35 |
| 13d |  knrad2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo77¢ → 86¢ | $12,300 | +$1,316 +11% | 35 |
| 14d |  Trading4Fridge | December 31, 2026 | SellNo78¢ → 86¢ | $1,174 | −$113 −9.6% | — |
| 14d | knrad2 fills | December 31, 2026 | SellNo78¢ → 86¢ | $6,830 | −$661 −9.7% | — |
| 15d |  RiskyWhisky | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo77¢ → 86¢ | $1,104 | +$122 +11% | 35 |
| 16d | zxdfbdfgngcxv | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo70¢ → 86¢ | $1,133 | +$251 +22% | 40 |
| 16d | Alexsago | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes31¢ → 14¢ | $1,127 | −$601 −53% | 40 |
| 19d |  willsom | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo69¢ → 86¢ | $1,308 | +$320 +24% | 40 |
| 19d | MinevaJ2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyYes31¢ → 14¢ | $9,077 | −$4,766 −53% | 48 |
| 19d | Olcan | December 31, 2026 | SellNo67¢ → 86¢ | $2,484 | −$680 −27% | — |
| 19d | Trading4Fridge | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo69¢ → 86¢ | $2,996 | +$734 +24% | 40 |
| 20d | TennisOG | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo79¢ → 86¢ | $2,000 | +$165 +8.2% | 34 |
| 21d | pkz | December 31, 2026 | SellNo75¢ → 86¢ | $4,354 | −$620 −14% | — |
| 22d | tomateman | December 31, 2026 | SellNo66¢ → 86¢ | $1,470 | −$439 −30% | — |
| 50d | pkz2 fills | December 31, 2026 | BuyNo70¢ → 86¢ | $2,867 | +$648 +23% | 40 |
| 116d | ZIONISTSAREGHEY | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,774 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 121d | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,418 | +$16 +1.1% | 20 |
| 122d | knrad | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,963 | +$38 +1.3% | 20 |
| 127d | flameron | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$44 +3.2% | 20 |
| 150d | pkz | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | −$136 −11% | — |
| 152d | pkz | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$144 +12% | 20 |
| 162d | WeakLink | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$32 +3.1% | 20 |
| 178d | flameron | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$66 −5.8% | — |
| 232d |  AngryRhino | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$114 +9.9% | 20 |
suraxy765 shares
Haradwaith374 shares
0xwordjnn261 sharesknrad186 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Spain's Prime Minister, Pedro Sánchez, is removed from power for any length of time between December 2, 2025 and the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Prime Minister of Spain within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 61¢ for January 31, 2027 means the market gives it about 61%.