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Polymarket wallet 0x554c31ace4e956facabaf3841102f9c2b6cfbbba · on Polymarket since Mar 24, 2024 · also shown as Piercing-Disconnection
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 741d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes79¢ | $5 |
| 741d | Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi? | BuyYes61¢ | $5 |
| 741d | Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | BuyYes21¢ | $5 |
| 935d | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? | BuyYes43¢ | $10 |
| 935d | COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ | $10 |
| 935d | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? | BuyNo97¢ | $20 |
| 935d | Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024? | BuyYes96¢ | $10 |
| 935d | Will Circle IPO by June? | BuyYes30¢ | $10 |
| 935d | Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | BuyNo77¢ | $10 |
| 935d | Bitcoin above $65,000 on Mar 29? | BuyYes92¢ | $10 |
| 936d | Will Circle IPO by June? | BuyNo73¢ | $5 |
| 936d | SBF reduced sentence because autism? | BuyYes14¢ | $5 |
| 938d | Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? | BuyYes39¢ | $5 |
| 938d | Senegal Presidential Election: Amadou Ba wins? | BuyYes72¢ | $1 |
| 938d | Kate Middleton’s medical records leaked by Sunday? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.