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Polymarket wallet 0x57df435a8e2183f5840cb924a46e9b6a02294b6f · on Polymarket since Sep 30, 2025 · also shown as Thick-Calcification
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army vs. Air ForceSettled - ready to redeem | Air Force | 637 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$319 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,452 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$228 −100% |
| Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 600 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$276 −100% |
| Hawks vs. JazzSettled - ready to redeem | Jazz | 900 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$387 −100% |
| Canadiens vs. Maple LeafsSettled - ready to redeem | Maple Leafs | 10 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$870 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 666 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$553 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 8-14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.