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Polymarket wallet 0x58f10bf13a0be9aef40980879714b884f2c923bc · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Careful-Corridor
Certified Geopolitical Analyst
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Korea missile launch by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 196 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$133 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 667 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$500 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 286 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 167 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 284 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$160 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 26 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.