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Polymarket wallet 0x5985f396b28d2f2111779bc25c80a425ac0437b6 · on Polymarket since Oct 20, 2023 · also shown as Natural-Run
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 63 | 79¢ → 100¢ | $63 | +$13 +27% |
| Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$0 +0.2% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1065d | Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? | SellYes15¢ | $2 |
| 1076d | Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? | SellYes7¢ | $1 |
| 1087d | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyYes15¢ | $2 |
| 1087d | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo81¢ | $12 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.