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Polymarket wallet 0x5a0daec49a772c08868ae28c20bffc90a720c5bb · on Polymarket since Oct 13, 2026 · also shown as Golden-Ferryboat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 268 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 296 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas NeumayerSettled - ready to redeem | Elmer Moeller | 50 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks KasnikowskiSettled - ready to redeem | Andrea Guerrieri | 1,063 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 444 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 9d | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 9d | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BuyNo1¢ | $3 |
| 10d | Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyAndrea Guerrieri<1¢ | $1 |
| 10d | Olbia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Maks Kasnikowski | BuyAndrea Guerrieri2¢ | $1 |
| 10d | Maia: Elmer Moeller vs Lukas Neumayer | BuyElmer Moeller1¢ | $0 |
| 10d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BuyNo2¢ | $1 |
| 11d | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 11d | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BuyNo10¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.