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Polymarket wallet 0x5aff11c375ce11c1989795e50351648e328f900e · on Polymarket since Jan 20, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $0 | −$1 −78% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 228 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 450 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 27 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 2PM ET | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? | BuyYes62¢ | $17 |
| 276d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 276d | Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 276d | Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $8 |
| 276d | Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday? | BuyYes<1¢ | $9 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.