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Polymarket wallet 0x5ce0d01c6665f2ea300dbc62d88ec1ebd5703431 · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2026 · also shown as Upbeat-Poppy
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 689 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$640 −100% |
| Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BuyDown93¢ | $640 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $607 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BuyUp70¢ | $100 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BuyUp87¢ | $100 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BuyDown93¢ | $100 |
| 218d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyDown56¢ | $1 |
| 221d | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? | SellNo>99¢ | $514 |
| 222d | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026? | BuyNo68¢ | $350 |
| 233d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | SellYes45¢ | $379 |
| 233d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026? | BuyYes94¢ | $787 |
| 234d | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BuyYes88¢ | $696 |
| 237d | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026? | BuyYes30¢ | $182 |
| 237d | Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.