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Polymarket wallet 0x5eb183e23d2139eefcaa9b0a7b3daddef0c8e27b · on Polymarket since Apr 14, 2026 · also shown as Muddy-Construction
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 70 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $67 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-07 House seat?Ends in 10d | No | 53 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 52 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $50 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Ends in 10d | Yes | 54 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $49 | −$1 −2.7% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 53 | 95¢ → 87¢ | $46 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 54 | 94¢ → 42¢ | $23 | −$28 −56% |
| Will Trump deport 700-800k people?Ends in 127d | No | 6 | 100¢ → 99¢ | $6 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 98¢ → 90¢ | $3 | −$0 −8.3% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.