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Polymarket wallet 0x5f1f821f218a2548958c8023f1449b6d36389a9b · on Polymarket since Jul 8, 2025 · also shown as Imaginary-Maple
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 56 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 136d | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting? | BuyNo23¢ | $2 |
| 431d | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? | BuyYes35¢ | $2 |
| 431d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025? | BuyYes36¢ | $2 |
| 442d | Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | BuyNo38¢ | $2 |
| 443d | Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday? | BuyNo2¢ | $1 |
| 443d | Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 450d | Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? | BuyNo27¢ | $3 |
| 450d | Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday? | BuyNo42¢ | $2 |
| 451d | Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30? | BuyNo40¢ | $2 |
| 451d | Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | BuyNo35¢ | $5 |
| 451d | Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025? | BuyNo33¢ | $5 |
| 451d | Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July? | SellNo95¢ | $5 |
| 451d | Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? | SellNo95¢ | $7 |
| 473d | Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July? | BuyNo57¢ | $3 |
| 473d | Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? | BuyNo26¢ | $2 |
| 473d | Earthquake 7.0 or above before August? | BuyNo45¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.