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Polymarket wallet 0x61836a3d7c142585abbade8f5a92620d793ef231 · on Polymarket since Oct 21, 2025 · also shown as Motionless-East
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 194 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $194 | +$27 +16% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 102 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 294d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $167 |
| 348d | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | SellNo96¢ | $5 |
| 348d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo98¢ | $107 |
| 348d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 11? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 10? | BuyYes4¢ | $1 |
| 348d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 10? | BuyYes85¢ | $43 |
| 363d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | SellNo>99¢ | $20 |
| 367d | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $5 |
| 367d | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BuyYes5¢ | $5 |
| 367d | Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October? | BuyNo99¢ | $5 |
| 367d | Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 24? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5 |
| 368d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20 |
| 368d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.