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Polymarket wallet 0x62f677f30080cc01966d18e15d09702a1584f10e · on Polymarket since Jun 15, 2025 · also shown as Defenseless-Steeple
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 69d | No | 14 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $13 | +$3 +30% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 9 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $8 | +$2 +35% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $4 | +$0 +14% |
| Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.