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Polymarket wallet 0x6313bca44e33ee4201ca3189a8058e8c4639803c · on Polymarket since Jan 7, 2025 · also shown as Studious-Baseball
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 413 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 184 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 60 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 608d | FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | BuyYes37¢ | $2 |
| 609d | Will the SPD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 609d | Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes2¢ | $3 |
| 610d | Bucks vs. Wizards | BuyBucks72¢ | $4 |
| 613d | Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 613d | Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes20¢ | $5 |
| 613d | Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $3 |
| 613d | Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.