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Polymarket wallet 0x63e1e59d2a16fa52b6f308c68f92f33c34800ef0 · on Polymarket since Jan 27, 2026 · also shown as Courteous-Linguistics
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 26¢ → 80¢ | $9 | +$6 +202% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +16% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $2 | +$0 +11% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,286 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 300 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9AM ET | BuyDown56¢ | $2 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9AM ET | BuyDown54¢ | $10 |
| 255d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ET | BuyUp2¢ | $20 |
| 255d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9AM ET | BuyUp7¢ | $20 |
| 261d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $3 |
| 264d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BuyDown81¢ | $4 |
| 266d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BuyDown53¢ | $3 |
| 269d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $5 |
| 269d | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BuyNo93¢ | $3 |
| 269d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo86¢ | $2 |
| 269d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $2 |
| 269d | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes26¢ | $3 |
| 269d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BuyDown52¢ | $10 |
| 269d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BuyDown40¢ | $6 |
| 270d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BuyDown27¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.