| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 4,827 | 52¢ → 56¢ | $2,679 | +$179 +7.1% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 2,247 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $1,483 | +$17 +1.1% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?Ends in 129d | Yes | 1,700 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $612 | +$23 +4.0% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 4,223 | 13¢ → 13¢ | $549 | −$19 −3.3% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 747d | Yes | 50,096 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $351 | +$101 +40% |
| Will AI solve the Hodge Conjecture in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 422 | 65¢ → 76¢ | $321 | +$48 +18% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 315 | 45¢ → 85¢ | $266 | +$123 +86% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,066 | 44¢ → 23¢ | $240 | −$230 −49% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 350 | 57¢ → 69¢ | $240 | +$40 +20% |
| Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,435 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $222 | −$142 −39% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 801d | Yes | 592 | 26¢ → 36¢ | $213 | +$59 +38% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 500 | 24¢ → 28¢ | $140 | +$20 +17% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 171 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $137 | −$5 −3.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 162 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $137 | +$15 +13% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 530 | 7¢ → 25¢ | $132 | +$96 +263% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 360 | 17¢ → 36¢ | $130 | +$68 +112% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 350 | 48¢ → 35¢ | $121 | −$49 −29% |
| Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 239 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $108 | −$10 −8.2% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | No | 121 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $107 | +$8 +7.8% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,260 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $102 | −$14 −12% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 121 | 85¢ → 63¢ | $76 | −$27 −26% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 170 | 19¢ → 36¢ | $61 | +$29 +89% |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 512 | 15¢ → 12¢ | $59 | −$19 −25% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2028?Ends in 801d | No | 80 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $56 | +$4 +7.9% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 55 | 10¢ → 97¢ | $54 | +$48 +834% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 33,474 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $50 | +$13 +36% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 117 | 35¢ → 38¢ | $44 | +$3 +7.1% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?Ends in 343d | Yes | 65 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $42 | −$2 −4.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 42¢ → 42¢ | $42 | −$1 −1.2% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $41 | −$20 −33% |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,242 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $30 | −$20 −39% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 32 | 62¢ → 93¢ | $30 | +$10 +49% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 54d | No | 165 | 25¢ → 17¢ | $27 | −$14 −34% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 4,882 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $27 | −$12 −32% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 65 | 57¢ → 41¢ | $27 | −$10 −28% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 45 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $27 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 2,202 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $22 | −$45 −67% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 80 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $20 | −$3 −11% |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 61 | 21¢ → 30¢ | $18 | +$5 +39% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 33,330 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $17 | −$24 −59% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 21 | 73¢ → 78¢ | $17 | +$1 +7.3% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 32 | 82¢ → 50¢ | $16 | −$10 −38% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $16 | −$4 −20% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 885 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$46 −77% |
| Will the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 51 | 12¢ → 22¢ | $11 | +$5 +83% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 126 | 10¢ → 9¢ | $11 | −$2 −15% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 40 | 23¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 70d | Yes | 766 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $9 | −$12 −58% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 45 | 10¢ → 15¢ | $7 | +$2 +51% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 245 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $6 | +$5 +550% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 40 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $6 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 33 | 38¢ → 17¢ | $6 | −$7 −57% |
| Will SpaceXAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 173 | 1¢ → 3¢ | $5 | +$4 +460% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 32¢ → 24¢ | $5 | −$2 −26% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 39¢ → 23¢ | $5 | −$3 −40% |
| Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,496 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$2 −32% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 48 | 1¢ → 9¢ | $4 | +$4 +760% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 303 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$1 +16% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 104 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$5 −56% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 176 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $3 | +$3 +290% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 920 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$5 −63% |
| Will Tencent be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 88 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $3 | +$3 +540% |
| Over $4B crypto hack value in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 50 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $3 | −$0 −12% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$12 −83% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$5 −71% |
| Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 70d | Yes | 40 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$1 −23% |
| Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 201 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $2 | +$1 +594% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 57 | <1¢ → 3¢ | $2 | +$1 +884% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 41 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $2 | +$1 +303% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 41 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$1 −28% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 20 | 6¢ → 7¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 90 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 18¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 15¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 15¢ | $1 | +$1 +0.0% |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 102 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 246 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | +$0 +50% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 7¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 641 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −50% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 5¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Z.ai have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 437 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −75% |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 400 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −97% |
| Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 9d | Yes | 54 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$0 −12% |
| Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 30 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −79% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 747d | Yes | 5 | 0¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +0.0% |
