S4uron

Polymarket wallet 0x65d1dfacd31f0a75083db245fefe1856603c0e74 · on Polymarket since Feb 27, 2025 · also shown as Inferior-Simplification

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $4.44K
All-time profit: +$6.41K
Volume traded: $902K
All-time rank: #21,213
Markets traded: 93
Recent hit rate: 64%32 of last 50 closed

Open positions

9 markets · $4.44K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Ends in 81d	No	2,510	63¢ → 88¢	$2,220	+$629 +40%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 11d	Yes	1,469	78¢ → 82¢	$1,197	+$56 +4.9%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 81d	Yes	871	46¢ → 70¢	$613	+$214 +54%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 81d	Yes	2,499	19¢ → 14¢	$339	−$143 −30%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?Ends in 81d	Yes	2,444	7¢ → 3¢	$70	−$93 −57%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	46,069	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$150 −100%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	27,689	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$308 −100%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	15,228	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$979 −100%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	14,513	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$176 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
5d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes81¢	$4,004
6d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes80¢	$804
6d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes80¢	$804
6d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes80¢	$1,609
6d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes80¢	$803
8d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$458
8d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$52
8d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$6
8d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$0
9d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	SellYes79¢	$782
9d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$15
9d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$8
9d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$34
9d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes57¢	$558
9d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SellYes86¢	$1,708
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$1
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$2
10d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$2
14d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$69
14d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	SellNo82¢	$97
14d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	BuyYes50¢	$11
14d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	SellNo80¢	$8
14d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	BuyYes50¢	$24
15d	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	BuyYes86¢	$209
15d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes84¢	$845
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes8¢	$6
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes6¢	$1
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes6¢	$1
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes6¢	$0
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes6¢	$1
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	BuyYes50¢	$107
16d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes6¢	$1
16d	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BuyYes85¢	$855
17d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$21
17d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$152
17d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$50
17d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$7
17d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes5¢	$7
17d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$182
17d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	BuyYes74¢	$331
17d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes83¢	$837
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes98¢	$489
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$972
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$644
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$972
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$1,301
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$2,914
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$1,923
19d	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	BuyYes97¢	$988
19d	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	BuyNo98¢	$1,954
19d	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	BuyNo98¢	$1,954
19d	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	BuyNo97¢	$1,952
19d	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	BuyNo97¢	$1,952
21d	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	BuyYes10¢	$85

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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