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Polymarket wallet 0x6654286b219022aa808b70b7797679278f9ef591 · on Polymarket since Dec 30, 2021 · also shown as Rural-Criteria
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Kings by more than 1.5 points in their December 29 matchup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BuyYes98¢ | $10 |
| 89d | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 89d | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $1 |
| 89d | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $1 |
| 89d | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BuyNo88¢ | $1 |
| 89d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes21¢ | $1 |
| 89d | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BuyYes97¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.