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Polymarket wallet 0x68448eb47396dd469c7fef28a52f6b171b2b84c7 · on Polymarket since Aug 11, 2025 · also shown as Large-Pyridine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 60¢ → 100¢ | $167 | +$67 +67% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 476 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,920 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| Megaquake by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 85 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 438d | Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31? | BuyYes60¢ | $100 |
| 438d | Megaquake by September 30? | BuyYes12¢ | $20 |
| 438d | Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15? | BuyNo8¢ | $20 |
| 438d | Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31? | BuyNo59¢ | $50 |
| 438d | Israel strikes Yemen by August 15? | BuyNo59¢ | $100 |
| 438d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes21¢ | $100 |
| 438d | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
| 438d | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? | BuyNo5¢ | $20 |
| 438d | Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $250 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.