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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 21,981 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $2,967 | −$244 −7.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,812 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $492 | −$21 −4.1% |
| US military draft authorized in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 10,014 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $356 | −$200 −36% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,009 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $135 | −$112 −45% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 13 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.