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Polymarket wallet 0x6c2978ed9411329fa5bfca398f334667f21aac77 · on Polymarket since Jul 6, 2024 · also shown as Realistic-Fit
Just swinging
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,717 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$333 −100% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D HouseSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,184 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| Iran military response by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 662 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$266 −100% |
| Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 694 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$540 −100% |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15,495 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,165 −100% |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,335 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$400 −100% |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,667 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,246 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,374 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House | BuyYes20¢ | $300 |
| 717d | 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House | BuyYes19¢ | $700 |
| 730d | Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | BuyYes27¢ | $2,665 |
| 799d | Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | BuyYes26¢ | $500 |
| 807d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September? | BuyYes19¢ | $333 |
| 812d | Iran military response by Sunday? | BuyYes40¢ | $266 |
| 812d | JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? | BuyYes9¢ | $400 |
| 814d | Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | BuyYes26¢ | $1,000 |
| 820d | Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee? | BuyYes78¢ | $540 |
| 820d | Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | BuyNo18¢ | $300 |
| 837d | Biden wins the Popular Vote? | BuyYes30¢ | $74 |
| 837d | Biden wins the Popular Vote? | SellNo70¢ | $45 |
| 838d | Biden wins the Popular Vote? | BuyYes29¢ | $2,300 |
| 839d | Biden wins the Popular Vote? | BuyNo78¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.