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Polymarket wallet 0x70491c7530e4e92a206258230048402ec7023dea · on Polymarket since Feb 9, 2026 · also shown as Long-Term-Fog
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 140 and 141.5 million views on week 1?Ends ended | Yes | 151 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $151 | +$15 +11% |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 108 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $105 | +$3 +2.5% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get at least 120 million views on week 1?Ends in 37d | Yes | 65 | >99¢ → >99¢ | $65 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 60 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 59 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $59 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 55 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $54 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Ends in 1164d | No | 30 | 98¢ → 91¢ | $27 | −$2 −7.1% |
| NATO article 5 before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.7% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.