GoldmanSachs

Polymarket wallet 0x71dd2d539a793687451d4af8c43169369b47d61c · on Polymarket since Jul 28, 2024 · also shown as Knotty-Mud

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $14.8K
All-time profit: +$70.3K
Volume traded: $1.26M
All-time rank: #2,679
Markets traded: 532
Recent hit rate: 60%30 of last 50 closed

Open positions

19 markets · $14.8K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	4,719	85¢ → 96¢	$4,542	+$542 +14%
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	6,117	27¢ → 71¢	$4,313	+$2,663 +161%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d	Yes	4,073	92¢ → 78¢	$3,157	−$592 −16%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d	Yes	1,300	85¢ → 92¢	$1,190	+$85 +7.6%
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d	Yes	2,000	52¢ → 57¢	$1,150	+$110 +11%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 68d	Yes	1,333	15¢ → 22¢	$287	+$87 +43%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d	Yes	110	66¢ → 72¢	$79	+$6 +8.3%
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d	No	31	90¢ → 100¢	$31	+$3 +11%
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	75	50¢ → 19¢	$14	−$24 −63%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	90	7¢ → 5¢	$5	−$1 −21%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	315	1¢ → <1¢	$1	−$2 −63%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem	No	761	41¢ → 0¢	$0	−$312 −100%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	800	2¢ → 0¢	$0	−$13 −100%
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	670	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$38 −100%
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	455	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$15 −100%
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	64	39¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in June?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	34	8¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,000	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$46 −100%
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	177	24¢ → 0¢	$0	−$42 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
1h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$7,326
6h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$1,090
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$5
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$1
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$8
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$2
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$3
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$2
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$10
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$3
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes93¢	$129
9h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$8,485
10h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$9
10h	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes92¢	$1
3d	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	BuyYes66¢	$14
3d	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	BuyYes66¢	$59
3d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$662
3d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$26
3d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$76
3d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$64
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$11
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$26
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$52
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$26
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$3
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$42
4d	Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?	BuyYes52¢	$52
8d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes70¢	$2,077
8d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes70¢	$23
9d	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	SellNo97¢	$1,167
9d	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	SellNo93¢	$2,131
15d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	SellNo30¢	$293
23d	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$209
23d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyYes65¢	$509
23d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyYes60¢	$306
24d	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	SellYes87¢	$1,171
24d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyNo51¢	$497
24d	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	BuyNo51¢	$13
24d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes48¢	$5,130
24d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes38¢	$1,959
24d	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	BuyYes92¢	$5,018
35d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes43¢	$5,952
36d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	SellYes51¢	$2,363
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes51¢	$1,530
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes51¢	$1,020
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes66¢	$3,051
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes61¢	$2
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes61¢	$598
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes61¢	$1,536
37d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes61¢	$305
37d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SellYes88¢	$1,408
37d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SellYes88¢	$792
37d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SellYes88¢	$1,056
37d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	SellYes88¢	$1,408
37d	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	SellNo93¢	$5,580
38d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	BuyYes61¢	$3,059
41d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes79¢	$4,334
41d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes79¢	$722
42d	Fed rate hike in 2026?	BuyYes87¢	$5
43d	Fed rate hike in 2026?	SellYes69¢	$6,640

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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