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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +4 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 46d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37d | ratehikes3 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $188,604 | −$19,675 −10% | — |
| 37d | 0x88f5…080c | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,254 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 37d | Spiderman161716 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $21,095 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 37d | Evlampius | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 37d |  Dragontree | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,085 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 37d | drde | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,530 | −$684 −7.2% | — |
| 37d | gdbl | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $8,171 | −$429 −5.3% | — |
| 37d | Drab-Regulator | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,125 | +$82 +3.8% | 10 |
| 37d | Paul9739736 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $19,800 | +$1,560 +7.9% | 10 |
| 38d | Noname333 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$46 +4.2% | 10 |
| 38d | Kevin-Warsh | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $13,908 | −$732 −5.3% | — |
| 38d |  Krang | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | −$62 −5.3% | — |
| 38d | Orioncast | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $15,359 | −$808 −5.3% | — |
| 38d |  truthteller2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo8¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | −$3,200 −100% | 19 |
| 38d |  charliegooseman | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo4¢ → 0¢ | $2,748 | +$2,748 +100% | — |
| 38d |  foodenjoyer11 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $338,960 | +$159K +47% | 10 |
| 38d | Odd-Bubble | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$69 −6.4% | — |
| 38d | Solmaxi8888.sol | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,500 | +$553 +5.3% | 10 |
| 38d | DanNT93 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,660 | −$275 −7.5% | — |
| 38d | Kevin-Warsh | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $32,623 | +$2,082 +6.4% | 10 |
| 38d | bettingonwar | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,685 | +$578 +7.5% | 10 |
| 38d | tr1000 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$130 +7.5% | 10 |
| 39d | floatingraft | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $63,700 | −$6,300 −9.9% | — |
| 39d | podairpod | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$160 +8.7% | 10 |
| 39d |  UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$150 +7.5% | 10 |
| 39d | zjavax2 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,770 | +$241 +8.7% | 10 |
| 39d | richsteady1 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo7¢ → 0¢ | $1,113 | +$1,113 +100% | — |
| 39d | nobearland | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo11¢ → 0¢ | $1,563 | −$1,563 −100% | 13 |
| 39d | WarriorH | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,621 | +$180 +11% | 10 |
| 39d |  classified | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $22,551 | +$2,787 +12% | 10 |
| 39d | suntori2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,626 | +$361 +14% | 10 |
| 39d | richsteady1 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $1,853 | −$1,853 −100% | 14 |
| 39d | c10rmain3 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $7,779 | −$1,739 −22% | — |
| 40d | Spiderman161716 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $18,993 | +$2,116 +11% | 10 |
| 40d | T318 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo35¢ → 0¢ | $30,045 | +$30,045 +100% | — |
| 40d | odsowner4 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $33,104 | +$4,592 +14% | 10 |
| 41d | 747281 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$980 +12% | 10 |
| 41d | 747281 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo12¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | +$1,168 +100% | — |
| 41d | 7472812 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo19¢ → 0¢ | $2,415 | −$2,415 −100% | 15 |
| 42d | howesr1970 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | −$277 −11% | — |
| 42d | thanksmom | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,181 | +$117 +9.9% | 10 |
| 42d |  kinderSman | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | +$198 +12% | 10 |
| 42d |  456ythgbvcadscvb19 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $96,326 | +$65,420 +68% | 10 |
| 42d | 0x34a9…4cfd | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,187 | +$162 +14% | 10 |
| 42d |  The-Joker | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,081 | +$610 +15% | 10 |
| 42d |  StupidMonkeyyy | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$210 +15% | 10 |
| 42d | fpjsqj2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $6,527 | +$1,647 +25% | 10 |
| 42d | Jimmyneutrondu34 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | −$315 −18% | — |
| 42d | ethBELIVER6 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $34,885 | +$16,335 +47% | 10 |
| 42d |  KingOdysseus | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo15¢ → 0¢ | $3,021 | +$3,021 +100% | — |
| 42d |  mombil | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $4,849 | +$1,259 +26% | 10 |
| 42d | JonTay | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$356 +36% | 10 |
| 42d | 0x0f34…76842 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $2,753 | −$2,753 −100% | 15 |
| 43d |  Hyperlong5 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $14,068 | +$8,256 +59% | 10 |
| 43d |  GoldmanSachs | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $6,745 | −$3,029 −45% | — |
| 43d | simpleman2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $13,952 | −$6,848 −49% | — |
| 44d | Scrimpy | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,130 | +$870 +41% | 10 |
| 45d | whenSunday | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | −$900 −43% | — |
| 48d | SamAlterman | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $2,668 | +$2,668 +100% | — |
| 49d |  Nibiru23 fills | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SellNo28¢ → 0¢ | $6,179 | +$6,179 +100% | — |
truthteller38,974 shares
ImJustKen30,838 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.
