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Polymarket wallet 0x74d15432019a272f51804c98d8b73a63f2c3ba26 · on Polymarket since Aug 2, 2025 · also shown as Velvety-Verdict
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 462 | 11¢ → 15¢ | $71 | +$21 +42% |
| Selena Gomez married in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 41 | 48¢ → 100¢ | $41 | +$21 +106% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $25 | +$5 +25% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 67 | 30¢ → 9¢ | $6 | −$14 −72% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 71 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 91 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 430d | Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BuyYes31¢ | $20 |
| 430d | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | BuyYes65¢ | $20 |
| 430d | Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August? | BuyNo80¢ | $20 |
| 430d | Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 430d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes28¢ | $20 |
| 447d | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes30¢ | $20 |
| 447d | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BuyYes22¢ | $20 |
| 447d | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4? | BuyYes75¢ | $30 |
| 447d | Selena Gomez married in 2025? | BuyYes48¢ | $20 |
| 448d | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes11¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.