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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 52d | Yes | 398 | 75¢ → 74¢ | $292 | −$8 −2.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1h | Yes | 112 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $112 | +$12 +12% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 799d | Yes | 588 | 17¢ → 16¢ | $91 | −$9 −8.8% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 45d | Yes | 500 | 40¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$189 −94% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 45d | Yes | 784 | 26¢ → 1¢ | $11 | −$189 −95% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.